The PSOE would win the general election according to the CIS poll, despite falling two points after the Ceuta crisis
The September CIS poll predicts that the PSOE would get 31% of the vote, the PP 25.5% and Vox 16.6%. The People's Party would go down four tenths, while the far-right would go up 1.3 points. EH Bildu would stay ahead of the PNV with 1.3% and 0.7% respectively.
Pedro Sanchez, in a stock image. Photo: EFE
If the general election were held today, the PSOE would be the first force, with 5.5 points ahead of the second (PP), according to the latest poll published today by the Spanish Center for Sociological Research (CIS), the first of its kind after the migration crisis in Ceuta, in which the PP would rise four tenths and, Vox, 1.3 points.
In particular, the PSOEwould get 31% of the vote, two points less than in the previous poll and its worst result in the last year, although the Socialists would outnumber the popular by 5.5 points.
The PP, for its part, would grow four tenths from July to September, from 25.1% to 25.5%. When it won the election in 2023, it won 33% of the vote.
Vox has risen the most, rising 1.3 points since July, with 16.6% of the vote.
Sumar, on the other hand, would get the worst result of the entire legislature with 5.7% support. We can, on the other hand, go up to 3.7%.
Thus, the two parties that make up the coalition government would gain only 36.7% support, compared to 42.1% for the PP and Vox.
ERC (2.5%) would remain above Junts (0.7%) with 2.5% support, while EH Bildu (1.3%) would surpass the PNV (0.7%).
Sanchez, your favorite choice.
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