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Andalusian elections
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The PP doubts the absolute majority in the Andalusian elections, even though it is the great favorite

6,812,902 Andalusians have the right to vote in the Andalusian autonomous elections — 171,046 more than in 2022 — Parliament will consist of 109 deputies and 25 parties eta 3 coalition candidates have been presented in the elections.

hauteskundeak

EITB

Updated

Andalusia has its thirteenth autonomous election on Sunday, and the PP is the main favorite in all the polls, but it is certain that it will achieve an absolute majority.

In this way, the Andalusians will decide tomorrow whether or not to form a third government without socialists, since the agreements ofthe PP candidate  Juanma Moreno with Vox have left the PSOE "out of the government" in the last two terms.



In the absence of results, the polls are clear. All the polls conducted so far give the PP a broad victory — the last six polls published on Monday predicted between 52 and 55 seats for the popular.

Moreno, however, has not made clear his willingness to form a government with Vox, who has focused his campaign on other issues or issues.



As he did in the elections four years ago, Moreno has called for a large majority to strengthen the so-called "Andalusian Way," and thus avoid the "headaches" that can result from the creation of a government with Vox. 

To this end, he has focused his campaign on himself, for example by giving voice to the PP's electoral harmony, insisting that 17 May will be key to consolidating the "change" that began more than seven years ago in Andalusia.

Juanma Moreno, last campaign event

PSOE calls for a progressive vote

 

Maria Jesús Montero, for her part, wants to return to the situation before 2018, even though all the forecasts are against it. In the best scenario, the polls say that the PSOE will be able to match the results of 2022  — then Juan Espadas won 30 MPs — but it was still a long way from the PP on that occasion.

During the campaign, the M17 has been presented as a "referendum" by the Socialist candidate, with emphasis on the management of public services, especially in the field of health.  

On this occasion, Montero closed the door to abstention from the outset for the investiture, despite possible PP pacts with Vox.

Montero, at the last campaign event.

Go ahead with the sorpasso of the Andalusian party?

 

The division of Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía has also been highlighted in the run-up to the Andalusian elections, the first of which was formed in the elections of 19 June 2022 and has succeeded in uniting Podemos, IU and Sumar and other left-wing forces, while Adelante Andalucía is led by José Ignacio García, who succeeds Teresa Rodríguez.

Por Andalucía has attached importance to candidate Antonio Maillo during the campaign. He has won the support of the leaders of Sumar and IU, as well as of the ministers Pablo Bustinduy and Sira Rego. However, he has not held any event with the leaders of Podemos despite the support or punctual gestures of the purple party.

On the other hand, the attention gained in the debates on TV shows has highlighted Jose Ignacio Garcia in the campaign, which has also been helped by the strategy used on social media. In view of the success, the polls predict that he can triple the results so far, so he can anticipate Por Andalucía. However, the polls have completely ruled out, despite the sum of these two aspects, reaching the 17 seats achieved in 2018. 

6.8 million Andalusians will be able to vote 

 

More than 6.8 million Andalusians will be able to vote in the elections to the Andalusian Parliament.

Specifically, 6,812,902 Andalusians have the right to vote in the autonomous elections — 171,046 more than in 2022.

302,070 of these electors live abroad and have been called upon to elect the 109 deputies who will form the Andalusian Parliament for the 13th legislature, for which candidates from 25 parties and three coalitions have been nominated.


What does each side play on the 17M?

 

TheAutonomous Elections to the Andalusian Parliament  have drawn different scenarios\u00A0for eachofthe main parties 5 edo coalition.

There are 27 political parties in total, but only 13 have been presented in all districts, although there is a five-party competition: PP, PSOE, Vox, Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucia.

But what does everyone play?

The left fortified, the right new bastion

andalucia cadidatos andaluzia hautagaiak juanma moreno maria jesus montero manuel gavira antonio maillo jose ignacio garcia

 

What seemed implausible has been going on for 10 years now: the main stronghold of the Spanish left has collapsed, and the Andalusians continue to slide to the right. In Sunday's election, no change of trend is expected, and the question is whetherthe PP will gain an absolute majority on its own  or need Vox's support. According to the polls, these two parties together will have about 65% of the representatives in Parliament. What has happened in recent years in Andalusia to ensure that the relationship of strength to the right and left is fully maintained?
Elections in Andalusia: What does each party play on the 17M?
Andalusia Elections PP Psoe

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