Bolivia is going through historic elections this Sunday: the right may take over after almost 20 years

Boliviawill be the scene of historic elections this Sunday, asa right-wing government   could return after nearly 20 years in power by theMovement for Socialism  (MAS). However, according to local experts, if the right wants to take over, it will have to "compromise and negotiate"with other political forces.

The polls are led by businessman Samuel Doria Medina of the Union Alliance, closely followed by former President and opposition Jorge Tuto Quiroga of the Free Alliance (2001-2002).

If this trend continues, Bolivia would hold a second round in October between these two candidates, and the president would be elected by a simple majority.

"There would probably be a need for pacts between political parties to ensure governance over the next five years, "explains political analyst Lily Peñaranda .

In his view, whoever acquires power "will not be able to impose progressive measures"because the current crisis situation does not allow the state to spend an extra cent, so that whoever acquires power, whether on the left or the right," will probably have to make liberal decisions, because that is what the Bolivian economy needs. "

Ten political parties were registeredfor the Bolivian elections, but only eight are still on track, including Senate President Andronica Rodriguez , who ranks fifth in the latest polls, and former Government Minister Eduardo del Castillo , who has failed to exceed 2.1% voting intention with the MAS.

This Sunday, Bolivians are called to the polls to elect President  , Vice-President and Parliament for the period 2025-2030. However, they are mortified by the complex economic situation: the lack of dollars, fuel shortages, rising inflation that has made first-class products more expensive, and severe criticism of President Luis Arce and the MAS administration, accused of the "failure of the economic model" put in place.

Morales warns of the change in military command

In this context, formerPresident Luis Arce  has urged the international community to monitor the "institutional lackof control and abuse of power "that may be caused by the change in the high military command of the Armed Forces.

"It is striking that the change of military command took place unexpectedly two days after the election, under various hypotheses such as preparing for fraud in compliance with political agreements or the resignation of the president for fear of having no control over the police, military and state justice forces," Morales wrote on social media.